Showing posts with label Yelemes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Yelemes. Show all posts

Tuesday, 20 April 2010

Roxi Petroleum Newsflow Update

In the post on 11 March, I set out a number of items of expected newsflow.  Here is an update:

1) Ravninnoe Well #20 test result (expected March 2010 per Oil Barrel Conference).  Update: Result announced in 7 April RNS.  240bopd from an 18 metre interval.  Awaiting results of extended flow test and acid stimulation.

2) Galaz NK22 test result (ought to be imminent as discovery was announced on 18Feb 2010).  Update: Result still awaited.

3) South Yelemes re-perforation of Well G-54 result (they were preparing to perforate on 3 Feb 2010). Update: Result announced in 7 April RNS.  200bopd from shallower interval.

4) Spudding of first new well on South Yelemes (a rig had been mobilised on 3 February 2010). Update: Well 805 spudded on 14 April, to be followed by Well 806.

5) Canamens exercising their option (or not) over a further %-age of BNG (due by 31 March 2010). Update: Done, announced in 31 March RNS.

6) Repayment (or not) of Arawak Energy (now known as Altius Energy) loan(s) - decision due by 31 March 2010.  Update: Re-paid from a new interest-free loan from Kuat Oraziman. This new loan likely to be re-paid using funds received from LG in the Galaz deal.

7) Further exercise (or not) of Arawak (now known as Altius Energy) warrants (the exercise price rises to 15p after 31 March 2010). Update: Altius Energy exercised a total of 3.6m warrants, leaving a substantial number outstanding at an exercise price of 15p or above.

8) Commencement of Galaz production (approval should be granted before end April 2010). Update: LG deal going well, but now expected to close during May 2010.

9) Commencement of Galaz development programme (deal with LG announced on 10 Feb 2010; awaiting regulatory approval). Update: presumably after the partial sale to LG deal completes

10) Lifting of Beibars military polygon (or not), and maybe a farm-in? (timing of lifting of the military polygon is unknown at present). Update: No further updat as yet.

11) Forward drilling plan for Ravninnoe (probably dependent upon Well #20 test result). Update: No further update yet.

12) Volumetrics and forward drilling plan for BNG (At Oil Barrel, the expectation was set of some news on this by mid-2010 in the form of a Competent Persons Report or CPR). Update: still awaited.

Additionally, we have been informed that some 80bopd of production on Munaily will commence around mid-year 2010, with the potential to ramp up to 300-400bopd.


Don't forget to do your own research.

Sunday, 18 April 2010

Roxi Petroleum Start Drilling on BNG Block

In a low key announcement, on 16 April Roxi Petroleum announced the spudding of the first new well on the BNG Contract Area since they assumed operatorship of the block.

Well 805 commenced drilling on 14 April targeting the already discovered South Yelemes field.  The well will be drilled to 2,500m, so it seems it will explore both formations previously discovered in Well 54.  Roxi re-entered well 54, previously drilled in the 1980's and produced 200bopd from the Upper Jurassic sands at 2,212m.  There is  also another potential productive formation at around 2,223m but that suffered from  waterinflux from behind the casing.  Hopefully, Well 805 will have more success in this zone.

It is to be expected that Well 806 will be drilled once 805 has been completed.

Wednesday, 7 April 2010

Roxi Petroleum Operations Update

Today Roxi Petroleum (AIM:RXP) announced a comprehensive operations update covering four of their oil exploration and production assets in Kazakhstan.

BNG

Roxi have successfully re-perforated the old well 54 on the South Yelemes field.  The deeper interval produced oil and water at a rate of 90 barrels of oil per day (bopd).  This interval had to be isolated with a cement plug after water ingress from a deeper water leg.  The shallower interval is now on test production at ~200bopd.  As this well was originally drilled in 1988, it seems a remarkable achievement to get this well to flow at all.

Two further wells 805 and 806 on the South Yelemes field will now be drilled to test the formations producing in Well 54, and two secondary targets (presumably deeper) in the Middle Jurassic.  It seems appropriate to expect bpth these wells to be producers as the primary target is the formation already producing in Well 54.  Roxi estimates the gross P50 reserves for South Yelemes to be 12.5 million barrels of oil (mmbo) - 23.41% of this net ro Roxi.  The slight disappointment is that the Matrix broker note from December 2009 seemd to indicate gross recoverable resources of c. 25mmbo.

We can expect a further 3-6 wells to be drilled on BNG this year, and a further 895km2 of 3-D seismic to be shot over the southern portion of the block.

Ravninnoe

The initial production rate from Well #20 looks a bit low at 240bopd and calls into question the commerciality of the discovery, but this may improve as the well cleans up after the acid stimulation. 

Interestingly, there is a hint that Roxi and/or Canamens may end up purchasing a further stake in the Ravninnoe block from the Kazakh partners if they cannot fund the future work programme.

Galaz

There are five wells ready for production at a gross rate of some 1,200bopd, and state approval to begin pilot production is to be expected next month, with a reserves audit from McDaniel & Associates to come.  Well results from NK22 should be released in the next few weeks as the test programme looks poised to start.

Munaily

We can expect initial production of some 80bopd soon, ramping up to 300-400bopd hopefully before year end assuming the necessary approvals from the state authorities are forthcoming in a timely manner.


All in all, it is clear steady progress is being made across 4 of the assets, with the company being funded for the significant 2010 drilling campaign and cash flow now commencing from four separate fields.  But a nagging doubt about the commerciality of Ravninnoe.

Wednesday, 31 March 2010

Roxi Petroleum Corporate Update

Today Roxi Petroleum (AIM:RXP) announced a corporate update.  This covered a number of items identifed as due for release in the blog post of 11 March:

  1. Canamens have exercised their option to acquire a further 12% of the BNG contract area for a consideration of $23m.  This transaction means that the BNG work programme is fully funded for 2010.  The Oil Barrel presentation indicates that 9 wells will be drilled on BNG this year, including 5 exploration wells and 4 appraisal/production wells.  Roxi now holds 23.41% of the BNG asset.
  2. The most recent $3m convertible loan from Arawak Energy (now owned by Vitol) has been re-paid.  This avoids the conversion of the loan into shares and thus also avoids shareholder dilution.  The $3m has been provided by director Kuat Oraziman, and is repayable by 1 July 2010 - presumably from the funds that Roxi will receive once the Galaz deal completes.  Shareholders must thank Mr Oraziman for his continued support of the company.
  3. Separately, Arawak has exercised a further 2m warrants at 10p each, providing £200,000 of funding to Roxi.  According to my calculations, this leaves Arawak with 30,923,835 warrants, which must now be exercised at 15p, if before 30 September 2010, or 20p if between 1 October 2010 and 31 March 2011.  This could be a significant source of funding for Roxi to finance further drilling on the Ravninnoe block.
  4. The proposed transaction with LG International to acquire a stake in the Galaz block is progressing well

Unfortunately, a number of other operational matters were not covered in the RNS so we are no further forwards on understanding:
  • The test results from Well #20 at Ravninnoe - we are awaiting oil flow rates from this well
  • The results of the perforation of the well at South Yelemes
  • If any of the appraisal oil wells at South Yelemes have spudded
  • The test results of well NK22 on Galaz
We must hope for an update on these operational matters shortly, hopefully including some news on the lifting of the Military Polygon on Beibars and progress on re-habilitating Munaily.

Update: It was announced on 1 April 2010 that Altius Energy (formerly known as Arawak Energy) has exercised a further 1.6m warrants at 10p.  According to my calcuations,this brings Altuis' warrant holding down to 29.3m

Thursday, 11 March 2010

Roxi Petroleum Anticipated Newsflow

Trading volumes in Roxi Petroleum (AIM:RXP) have risen sharply in recent days along with the share price.  From prior company announcements, here is a list of news items that maybe in the pipeline:

1) Ravninnoe Well #20 test result (expected March 2010 per Oil Barrel Conference)

2) Galaz NK22 test result (ought to be imminent as discovery was announced on 18Feb 2010)

3) South Yelemes re-perforation of Well G-54 result (they were preparing to perforate on 3 Feb 2010)

4) Spudding of first new well on South Yelemes (a rig had been mobilised on 3 February 2010)

5) Canamens exercising their option (or not) over a further %-age of BNG (due by 31 March 2010)

6) Repayment (or not) of Arawak Energy (now known as Altius Energy) loan(s) - decision due by 31 March 2010. 

7) Further exercise (or not) of Arawak (now known as Altius Energy) warrants (the exercise price rises to 15p after 31 March 2010)

8) Commencement of Galaz production (approval should be granted before end April 2010)

9) Commencement of Galaz development programme (deal with LG announced on 10 Feb 2010; awaiting regulatory approval)

10) Lifting of Beibars military polygon (or not), and maybe a farm-in? (timing of lifting of the military polygon is unknown at present)

11) Forward drilling plan for Ravninnoe (probably dependent upon Well #20 test result)

12) Volumetrics and forward drilling plan for BNG (At Oil Barrel, the expectation was set of some news on this by mid-2010 in the form of a Competent Persons Report or CPR)

Don't forget to do your own research.

Thursday, 4 March 2010

The Importance of Kazakhstan Oil to South Korea

An interesting paper on the geo-politics of Kazakhstan and South Korea.

http://uskoreainstitute.org/bin/k/o/USKI_WP0902.pdf

And a link to the 2008 Annual Report of the Turkish Petroleum Corporation

http://www.tpao.gov.tr/v1.4/condocs/yillik_rapor_2008en.pdf

Some interesting quotes from the paper:

"The most dynamic driving force of the Kazakh economy is the exploitation of crude oil around the Caspian Sea. These areas are estimated to have the largest oil and gas reserves outside the Middle East. Major oil companies have already moved to gain exploitation rights in these resource rich areas."

"South Korea is actively investing in the exploitation of Kazakhstan’s energy resources. The Korea Oil Corporation, Samsung, LG, SK, and Daesung formed a consortium which has energetically sought to exploit oil fields in the Caspian Sea and on land. In 2004, then South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun visited Kazakhstan and negotiated a basic contract for the exploitation of oil fields in the Zambil Region. The Korea Oil Corporation, LG, SK, and Serim have taken the lead on this project and on projects in other regions of Kazakhstan. LG has secured 50 percent of the Egizkara Oil Field’s total shares (estimated reserves: 200 million barrels). In cooperation with Serim, KS Energy has also secured the exploitation of two oil fields in Kazakhstan and started drilling operations there. In 2006, the Korea Oil Corporation discovered a new oil field in the Bashenkol structure inside the ADA Block of Actobe. Although it is estimated to hold about 20 million barrels of oil by itself, the estimated reserves in three other promising oil fields puts the total volume of the block at about 170 million barrels."

"In order to attract foreign investment in the exploitation of crude oil, the Kazakh government set up Production Sharing Agreements (PSAs) which granted foreign companies intending to invest in any Kazakh oil field to receive certain tax breaks and investment incentives when seeking joint venture with any private Kazakh company. Over the last several years, these PSAs have fueled fierce competition among foreign energy companies to invest in several of Kazakh’s oil fields, including North Buzachi, Sazankurak, Saztobe, Chinarevskoye and Airankol, which are all currently in production. In addition, other oil fields in Alibekmola, Urikhtau, and Kozhasai are almost ready to produce crude oil. As a result of this heightened activity, the oil production of Kazakhstan is expected to increase steadily for the next 10 years."

These quotes  and the TPC Annual Report seem to support a number of interesting ideas:

a) That Roxi Petroleum's (AIM:RXP) BNG, Beibars and Ravninnoe blocks are in a very prospective area.

b) South Korea sees the strategic importance of investing in the oil industry in Kazakhstan.  Interestingly, one of the shareholders in ADA is Vertom (a company in which Kuat Oraziman, Executive director  of RXP has an interest) where LG and KNOC also have investments.  Of course, LG has just agreed to purchase a stake in the Galaz block.

c) KazTurkMunai is the operator of the existing NE Saztobe, SE Saztobe and West Yelemes fields on the BNG block.  These fields are excluded from Roxi Petroleum's contract, but indicate the prospectivity of the contract area.

Perhaps one of the Korean corporate giants will be the eventual purchaser of Roxi Petroleum assuming they are successful in proving up the BNG contract area.

Further background on KazMunaiGaz, the Kazakhstan state oil company, which has a controlling stake in KazTurkMunai:

http://www.rice.edu/energy/publications/docs/NOCs/Papers/NOC_Kaz_Olcott.pdf

Sunday, 14 February 2010

Roxi Petroleum (RXP) Drilling Programme

Roxi Petroleum (AIM:RXP) has released a great deal of operational news over the past few weeks. By combining this with the recent Matrix broker note it is possible to compile a tentative schedule of drilling for the rest of 2010 and beyond.

Galaz

Well NK22 has decalred a discovery in the SE corner of the block in the Cretaceous and Upper Jurassic.  However, given the deal to sell part of Galaz to LG was announced last week, it is likely that LG believe the oil shows that were encountered in the Arksum and Upper Jurassic sands will be commercial. Moreover, we do not yet know if hydrocarbons will be encountered in the deeper exploration target.

We know that LG have committed $26m of funding to develop the Galaz field. We don't know exactly what that money will be spent on, but we know that Roxi Petroleum have submitted an application to produce the 7.3 million barrels (mmbo) of C1 reserves.


Roxi Petroleum Galaz Development

According to the schematic (re-produced above) in the Matrix broker note, one can see that there are 5 or 6 more wells required to fully develop the C1 reserves. An estimated cost of $1.5m per well (per well cost estimate given at the November GM) would leave ~$17m. Presumably these remaining funds could be used to either:
a) Fund further development of the C2 reserves - according to the schematic, a further 8 or so wells, or ~$12m plus costs of surface facilities and/or,
b) More appraisal/exploration of the apparent new discovery in the Arksum/Upper Jurassic and deeper targets on the acreage. Note that RXP are also planning to shoot 3-D seismic over the northern part of the acreage.

Once production comes on stream from NW Konys, then the cash generated ought to be able to fund further development of new discoveries on the block.

Assuming the regulatory consents for the LG deal are forthcoming in a short timeframe, it seems we can expect results from NK22 soon and at least half a dozen development wells on Galaz this year and maybe some exploration/appraisal wells if the deeper target on well NK22 is successful.

Ravninnoe

We know that Well #20 is undergoing testing, and results should be announced shortly. The Matrix note indicated that a further 3-4 development wells would be drilled in 2010 to exploit the mid-Carboniferous target if Well #20 is successful. However, the funding from Canamens will probably only be sufficient to drill one further well on the acreage. So, funding of the further development wells will probably come from the $10m recently received for the partial sale of Galaz..

So, let us assume for the moment that we will get results from Well #20 shortly and three further wells will be drilled on Ravninnoe in 2010. We don't know if this will target the Lower Carboniferous or not; and there also remains the potential to drill the even deeper Devonian formation below 5,500m.

BNG
Roxi Petroleum recently announced plans to perforate well G-54 on the South Yelemes field, drill two shallow wells there and a further 6 wells to be drilled in 2010. The Matrix note talked of drilling a total of 4-5 shallow wells, presumably on South Yelemes. We can hope that one of these shallow wells will be deepened to explore the Triassic target that lies beneath the G-54 discovery.

This leaves 3-4 other targets to be drilled on BNG in 2010. We can perhaps assume that 2 of these will be on the fields discovered by the G-1 and G-7 wells, so this leaves a further 1 or 2 wells to probe other targets or appraise whatever is found in the earlier wells.

Summary

In total it appears as though we can expect 6 or so wells on Galaz on top of the NK22 result; possibly 3-4 wells on Ravninnoe as well as the test results from Well #20 and the results of a total of 8 wells on BNG, many of which seem to be targeting discoveries that were made in Soviet times. A total of at around 19 well results in 2010 – a very busy drilling programme indeed for a company with a market capitalisation of only £40m.

Friday, 12 February 2010

David Wilkes buys Shares in Roxi Petroleum (RXP)

It was announced yesterday that David Wilkes, CEO of Roxi Petroleum (AIM:RXP) had bought 262,000 shares in Roxi at a price of 9.5p per share.

It seems the purchase has come in the small window of opportunity since the last operations update, yesterday's announcement of the partial sale of Galaz and the expected results of the Ravninnoe Well #20, the Galaz NK22 well and the re-perforation of one of the shallow wells on the South Yelemes field on the BNG block.

Given this is a purchase with his own money, it looks like a great expression of confidence.

Friday, 5 February 2010

Roxi Petroleum (RXP) BNG Asset

Post updated and moved here.

Content up to 28/2/10 below, but will not be updated.

Roxi Petroleum BNG Block Source: Canamens

Overview

Roxi Petroleum's (RXP) BNG Contract Area, sometimes known as Ayrshagyl, is probably the most mouthwatering block in the Roxi Petroleum portfolio, lying as it does some 40km away from the super-giant 8bn barrel Tengiz field in Kazakhstan.

Prospects
Roxi Petroleum BNG Prospects
At the time of acquisition, 25 leads had been identified at various depths from the Jurassic to the Carboniferous. It was stated at the 2009 AGM that it was believed a common source rock under-pinned the acreage that may have been up to 40,000 feet thick. The existing leads are being refined and delineated by the 3-D seismic programme that took place during 2008. Some areas of the block are excluded as they contain shallow fields in the 5-100 millions of barrels of oil (mmbo) range from the Jurassic, Triassic and Permian horizons.

The shallow fields in this area tend to be above the salt (or post-salt). But the super-giants like Tengiz have been discovered under the salt (or pre-salt). It is to be hoped that the new techniques associated with the modern 3-D seismic have provided imaging that is good enough to delineate prospects under the salt.
Interpretation of the 360km2 3-D seismic us due to be received in November 2009.

It was understood at the 2009 AGM that the company was in the process of deciding well locations, with an intention to start drilling ~3 Jurassic depth wells in the G-54 area and possibly 1 deeper well to the Permian in the G-1 (Yelemes) area, with first spud in 4Q09, with the deeper well more likely to be in 1Q10. These wells appear to be primarily appraising the existing discoveries that were made in the 1980's. The combination of modern 3-D seismic and old and new well logs ought to provide enough data to support the generation of 2P reserves to SPE standards. The original G-1 tested oil at ~2,000barrels of oil per day (bopd) - from 2009 AGM report). See BNG seismic post for brief discussion of other targets; it may just be, that Roxi will consider testing the Triassic Truncation play with one of the planned G-54 wells.
G-54 tested oil at a rate of 250bopd in 1998. Once production has been established from G-54, the cashflow, together with the Canamens funding ought to provide the financial platform to explore the deeper horizons.

Clearly, the timing of the wells has been put back by the re-negotiation of the farm-out to Canamens, and the broker note of December 2009 with Matrix indicating shallow wells in 1-2Q10; although it is not clear if these wells are targeting just the Jurassic or whether they will also be targeting the Triassic play. Matrix indicate the well targeting the deeper Y-1 structure won't be spudded until 1H11, which would be something of a disappointment if true.

The "coffin-shaped" area that is not currently under license is thought to be prospective, and indeed the image sourced from Canamens above suggests there may be an existing field there. At the 2009 AGM it was suggested this area may become available during 2010.

The announcement of 3 February 2010 stated that Roxi was preparing to reperforate the old G-54 well and that a rig has mobilised ready to drill 2 wells - presumably shallow wells - on the South Yelemes field. Moreover, they were planning to drill 6 further wells on the BNG block during 2010. It is to be hoped at least some of these additional wells will also test the deeper, larger structures and that at least one of the shallow wells tests the Triassic lead underneath G-54. Roxi has also tendered a contract to shoot more 3-D seismic over the southern part of the block, presumably covering the old Saztobe well.

Reserves

Reserves for the BNG Contract Area to SPE standards have yet to be published. However, the 2008 annual report shows reserves and resources to Soviet-era GOST standards of over 400mmbo (C1+C2+C3), with 42mmbo C1+ C2. After the recent farm-out deal with Canamens, the Roxi share of these resources would be around 93mmbo 3C or 10mmbo 2C.

The 2C reserves are attributed 40mmbo to Yelemes and 2mmbo to G-54.

The combination of modern 3-D seismic and old and new (from the anticipated drilling programme) well logs ought to provide enough data to support the generation of 2P reserves to SPE standards.

Of course, we don't yet know the prospective resources attributed to the leads and prospects identified on the recent 3-D seismic.

Financing

On 29 October, Roxi announced the details of the new financing transaction. This deal means that Roxi's additional work commitments are reduced to $8m, in return for reducing its eventual stake in BNG to 23.41%. Whilst it is disappointing that the final stake is BNG is being reduced so dramatically, it is undoubtedly good news that funding issues have now been resolved and the path is clear to commence drilling; hopefully in the near future.

Wednesday, 3 February 2010

Roxi Petroleum (RXP) Releases Operational Update

Today, Roxi Petroleum (AIM:RXP) announced a very interesting operational update.

Galaz

Roxi Petroleum's original announcement of the spudding of this well stated that the target depth was 2,200m with the target formations being the Arksum Sands and Upper Jurassic. These are the formations that have been targeted by the earlier production wells on NW Konys.

They have said today that they have seen "shows" in these formations and are drilling ahead at 2,550m in the middle-Jurassic. The new ultimate target depth is as yet unknown.

It may be reasonable to conclude that the shows in the Arksum and Upper Jurassic will end up being commercial, and may well add to the reserves already declared on the block. It remains to be seen if the deeper exploration target will find anything, let alone be commercial, but if it is, it could add substantial value to the Galaz block.

Interestingly, Roxi have been silent on the progress of negotiations with third parties on the full or partial sale of this asset.

Ravninnoe

Roxi Petroleum have released further details of the initial results from the drilling of Well #20 on the Ravninnoe contract area. They have confirmed the hydrocarbons encountered were oil at high pressure (likely to lead to higher flow rates in the future), and that they have not encountered any H2S issues. Porosity has been measured in the range of 4-20%. A workover rig has been mobilised to complete the logging and test the well. Hopefully further results will be released within the month.

BNG

The BNG (aka Ayrshagyl) contract area is probably the crown jewel in the Roxi Petroleum portfolio. Now, following the farmout agreement with Canamens they are moving to explore the block.

First seems to be a re-entry and perforation of an existing well on the South Yelemes field, also known as G-54. It appears this will be followed by 2 further wells on that field. Prior seismic charts released by Roxi have shown a Triassic target beneath the Jurassic G-54. It remains to be seen if this target will be drilled by either of these two wells.

Roxi have also announced they have awarded a contract to acquire more 3-D seismic in the south of the block, in the "transition zone". This area probably includes the previously drilled Saztobe well, which appears to have tested for condensate from the Carboniferous.

Moreover, Roxi appear to be nearing a conclusion on interpreting the earlier 3-D seismic acquired in 2009, and are planning to drill a further 6 wells on the block in 2010. Hopefully, some of these additional oil weels will be targeting the exciting pre-salt targets which have great potential - indeed well G-1 tested at ~2,000bopd in Soviet times.

Other Operational

Roxi Petroleum have stopped trying to sell the Munaily block and is now applying for a production licesne to re-habilitiate the field. The statement regarding the Beibars block is the most encouraging for some time as Roxi is now "evaluating the potential of the block" in anticipation of lifting of the "Force Majeure". Beibars was previously described at the 2008 Visor Capital presentation as one of the high impact blocks in the portfolio, alongside BNG.

Management

The board of Roxi Petroleum has been strengthened with the appointment of Edmund Pery, Earl of Limerick - and experienced financier in the oil and gas sector and Hyunsik Jang, formerly a senior player in LG (who have been interested in buying Galaz) as operations director. Mr Jang will be co-ordinating drilling activity and identifying new sources of finance from the Far East.

Finance

Roxi Petroleum has also secured a further $3m convertible loan from Arawak Energy (now known as Altius Energy) re-payable by end March 2010 or convertible into 19m new shares at ~10p/share; this takes Arawak's potential stake in Roxi Petroleum over 20% if all their warrants are exercised. Hopefully, a full or partial sale of Galaz by this deadline will give sufficient funds to repay the loan and preclude further dilution of shareholders

Friday, 6 November 2009

Roxi Petroleum (RXP) BNG Block Seismic Results

Looking at the image above (that can be enlarged by clicking on it), taken from Slide 8 of the Roxi Petroleum (RXP) AGM Presentation from July 2009, it looks like there are more targets in this part of the BNG block (also known as Ayrshagyl) than were discovered in Soviet times. We know already about G-54 (aka Yelemes), the likely target of the first wells Roxi will drill on the block and G-1, presumably the pre-salt target discussed in the same presentation.



However, two other targets appear on this slide, the Triassic truncation play and the Upper Permian truncation play. Is it possible that Roxi will consider deepening one of the 3 new Yelemes G-54 wells to test the Triassic play type?

Sunday, 30 August 2009

Central Asian Republic Oil/Gas Fields and Pipelines

Interestingly, Yelemes and Ravninnoe (as Ravnin) and Munaily (as Munayli) appear on this EIA map of Oil and Gas fields and pipelines in Central Asia, including Khazakhstan:

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/Kazakhstan/images/Central%20Asian%20gas%20and%20oil%20pipelines%202004.pdf

Monday, 17 August 2009

Smarty Overview of Roxi Petroleum (AIM:RXP) Investment Case

Why invest in Roxi Petroleum (RXP):

  • Funded to drill acreage over next 2 years
  • Production success 1200-1400 barrels of oil per day (bopd) from Galaz - revenues monetised Q4 from possible sale of Galaz
  • Sept Interims with New broker note to follow
  • Possible move to SETS
  • Very likely Drill Ravninnoe wells end Sept
  • Drill Yelemes Q4
  • Vitol involvement
  • ADA acreage opportunity

    A positive broker note was meant to be published by WHI. Our new broker will obviously be keen to get his clients in pre proper news hits the streets and before broker note and probable rerating. Therein lies the problem of stock availability as a high % of RXP stock is held by KO and his Kazakh mates. I suggest that there maybe an attempted tree shake at some point as institutional demand will be met by a supply problem, net result a severe pop in the sp followed by news and a further spike north on rerating.

    I also like the Vitol involvement in RXP and their investment in BWLVN yesterday says a lot about their current appetite for more opportunity and it wouldn't surprise me to see their involvement in Kazakhstan-based ADA.

    This share is currently below the radar of many BUT not for much longer. I am in for the long term as I want to see BNG and possibly ADA deliver. There aren't many fully funded OE companies with the deep prospects and acreage prospectivity that RXP possess. RXP have done a great job to stay afloat and have managed to obtain interest & support from Canamems, LG of Korea, Vitol and I really see this as a hugely undervalued stock that has huge 'Bagger' potential.

    Smarty