Showing posts with label Vitol. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Vitol. Show all posts

Friday, 5 February 2010

Roxi Petroleum (RXP) Galaz Asset

Content updated and post moved here.

Content below up to 28/2/10, but this will not be maintained.

Roxi Petroleum Galaz

Overview


Roxi Petroleum's (RXP) Galaz contract area is a relatively small block compared to the potential of BNG (Ayrshagyl) and Ravninnoe, but has been important in establishing reserves and initial production. The block was recently extended in size to form the most northerly triangular shape and now covers a total area of some 42km2 in the middle of Kazakhstan.

Prospects


Initially, the block had modest 2C gross reserves of 12.6 millions of barrels of oil (mmbo), from 2008 Annual Report. But recent drilling has demonstrated the prospectivity of channel features in the NW Konys field. Soviet era wells #26 and #27 have been re-entered and flowed at relatively modest rates of 50-60bopd. More recent drilling under Roxi operatorship has been successful, with NK1 finding oil in the Arksum sands. But wells NK3, 4, 5 and 6 showing oil in the Arksum and Jurassic sands.


Roxi Petroleum Galaz Well Results

The table above shows the total test production levels that have been announced for each well, giving a total of 1,730bopd. However, we might expect the productivity to be somewhat lower when under full production. It appears as though production rates from NK4 have not yet been released.

It might be expected that additional development wells for the NW Konys field will be required to produce all of the reserves.

Roxi has identified a deeper exploration target in the south east of the acreage which has been drilled to a depth of 2,840m.

We now know that well NK22 is in the SE corner of the block and has recorded 12.8m of net pay in the Lower Cretaceous and Upper Jurassic. It seems that the deeper horizon was not prospective in this location. We do not yet know the prospective resources fom this new discovery, but it is probably safe to assume that the 2C (and 2P reserves to SPE standards) will rise. Hopefully, test results form this well will be publshed soon.

At the AGM in July 2009, Roxi stated that they intend to extend the seismic grid to the whole Galaz area, and believe there are a large number of targets.

Another operator is going to drill a deeper well to the West of the northern-most apex of the triangle to ~2,500m. We don't know who that is, but the results will be no doubt interesting to RXP as they plan their own deeper well programme. Another operator also holds the "zig-zaggy" triangle near the top of the acreage.

Reserves

A reserves upgrade report has been submitted to the state authorities that was to be reviewed on 4 November with the results of the review expected to be received by 11 November. Some thought that the expected 2C classification was of the order of 30mmbo (gross, of which Roxi share 34.2%). However it was announced on 1 December that the C1 reserves to GOST standards are 7.4 million barrels of oil (mmbo) and C2 reserves are 7.2mmbo. This makes the 2C reserves to GOST standards 14.6mmbo gross. Following the classification to GOST standards, Roxi is going to determine the reserves classification to western SPE standards.

The December 2009 broker note from Matrix indicated their expectations of 2P reserves under SPE standards to be 8 million barrels of oil (mmbo), with a further 5mmbo unrisked upside.

Finance

Some time ago, Roxi entered into a 2 stage farm-out agreement with KazRosMunai.

In June, Arawak Energy Limited (a subsidiary of Vitol, now known as Altius Energy) advanced a loan, in exchange for some warrants, to finance the development of Galaz to full production (http://www.roxipetroleum.com/PDFs/Rns180609.pdf).

On 17 July Roxi announced they had received an approach from LG of Korea to purchase the whole block, with exclusivity granted until the end of September. Note that LG also holds a stake in ADA Oil.

It was announced on 4 November 2009 that it has not been possible to conclude a deal to sell all or part of the Galaz block to LG under the exclusive MoU. However, Roxi and LG are still discussing a deal, and Roxi has recommenced discussions with other interested parties; which bodes well for achieving full value in any full or part sale.

However, on 11 February 2010, it was announced that a deal had been struck where LG has purchased a 40% stake in the Galaz asset from Roxi Petroleum and the other part owners of the block. Roxi Petroleum ends up with a remaining 34.2% stake in Galaz, $10m to fund other projects and LG has agreed to provide a further $26m of funding to further appraise and develop the block.

Wednesday, 2 December 2009

Arawak takes stake in Roxi Petroleum (RXP) to over 21m shares

Roxi Petroleum made three announcements today.

The first indicated that 12,050,000 warrants with an exercise price of 10p had been exercised. This raises ~£1.2m in cash for the company at a price above the current mid-market price (according to advfn RXP closed today at a mid price of 8.75p).

The second and third indicated that Arawak Energy Limited (part of Vitol Group, now known as Altius Energy) now had a holding of 21,132,500 shares or just over 5% of the new issued share capital; this representing the sum of the ~9m warrants exercised on 3/11/09 and the ~12m warrants exercised today. Arawak still holds 32,867,500 10p warrants (although the exercise price rises to 15p/share after the end of March 2010). This combined total represents the 54m warrants Arawak procured as part of the Galaz funding deal announced in June 09 (18m came from their loan and 36m were sold to Arawak by Kuat Oraziman). Note that Arawak Energy are now owned by Vitol.

The interesting thing is that since the beginning of November a further 6.43m 10p options were exercised on 23 November. It is not clear presently where these options came from or who exercised them.

Monday, 23 November 2009

Arawak Exercises More Options in Roxi Petroleum (AIM:RXP)

In two recent announcements (03/11/09 and 23/11/09), Roxi Petroleum has raised a total of ~£1.5m through the exercise of just over 15m options at 10p each.

Options at 10p were issued to Arawak Energy Limited (now part of Vitol Group and now called Altius Energy) and Kuat Oraziman in the announcement made in June 2009 to bring in funds to finance bringing Galaz into production. Subsequently Mr. Oraziman sold his 36m options to Arawak for an undisclosed sum.

So, it seems likely that Arawak are the party exercising the options and they have now exercised ~15.5m of the 54m options they held. Interestingly, the exercise price rises to 15p/share at the end of March 2010. So, this exercise of options shows a welcome show of confidence in the company, especially as the mid price of Roxi shares today is some 9.5p. These transactions also provide working capital funding to the company without recourse to the GEM facility, and thus does not dilute existing shareholders more than has already been announced.

Edit: 2/12/09 according to today's announcement it seems as though Arawak Energy did not exercise the ~6.4m options exercised on 23 November. That remains a bit of a mystery.

Monday, 17 August 2009

Smarty Overview of Roxi Petroleum (AIM:RXP) Investment Case

Why invest in Roxi Petroleum (RXP):

  • Funded to drill acreage over next 2 years
  • Production success 1200-1400 barrels of oil per day (bopd) from Galaz - revenues monetised Q4 from possible sale of Galaz
  • Sept Interims with New broker note to follow
  • Possible move to SETS
  • Very likely Drill Ravninnoe wells end Sept
  • Drill Yelemes Q4
  • Vitol involvement
  • ADA acreage opportunity

    A positive broker note was meant to be published by WHI. Our new broker will obviously be keen to get his clients in pre proper news hits the streets and before broker note and probable rerating. Therein lies the problem of stock availability as a high % of RXP stock is held by KO and his Kazakh mates. I suggest that there maybe an attempted tree shake at some point as institutional demand will be met by a supply problem, net result a severe pop in the sp followed by news and a further spike north on rerating.

    I also like the Vitol involvement in RXP and their investment in BWLVN yesterday says a lot about their current appetite for more opportunity and it wouldn't surprise me to see their involvement in Kazakhstan-based ADA.

    This share is currently below the radar of many BUT not for much longer. I am in for the long term as I want to see BNG and possibly ADA deliver. There aren't many fully funded OE companies with the deep prospects and acreage prospectivity that RXP possess. RXP have done a great job to stay afloat and have managed to obtain interest & support from Canamems, LG of Korea, Vitol and I really see this as a hugely undervalued stock that has huge 'Bagger' potential.

    Smarty